Wednesday Jun 29, 2022
Wednesday Jun 29, 2022

German economic advisers slash 2022 growth forecast to 1.8%

2022 Mar 30, 16:04, German
A worker rides his bicycle to the BP oil refinery Ruhr Oil in Gelsenkirchen, Germany. The German government said Wednesday it was triggering the early warning level for gas supplies amid concerns that Russia could cut off supplies unless it is paid in rubles. (AP Photo)

The German government’s panel of independent economic advisers on Wednesday slashed its 2022 growth forecast for Europe’s biggest economy in light of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and concern over energy supplies and prices.

The group forecast that Germany’s gross domestic product will expand by only 1.8% this year, compared with the 4.6% it predicted in November.

Last year, the country’s GDP grew by 2.8%; in the final quarter of 2021, it shrank by 0.7% compared with the previous three-month period.

“The high dependence on Russian energy supplies entails a considerable risk of lower economic output and even a recession with significantly higher inflation rates.,” the panel said.

The economists said in a statement that “Germany should immediately do everything possible to take precautions against a suspension of Russian energy supplies and quickly end its dependence on Russian energy sources.”

They added that “in the long term, the goal must be to ensure higher energy security, for example by expanding renewable energies and diversifying energy imports.” Those steps reflect the German government’s policy.

Shortly before the economists released their forecast, Germany triggered an early warning level for natural gas supplies amid concerns that Russia could cut off deliveries unless it is paid in rubles.

The panel of advisers forecasts growth of 3.6% in 2023.


German forecast advisers slashed Europe supplies Prices GDP government Natural Gas
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